The Fred Report - Weekly July 7, 2025

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With both SPY and QQQ at all-time highs there could be decent follow through in spite of the tariff threats.  Bonds often make an important cycle low in October and given the patterns on the long-term quarterly charts of TNX and TYX, this coming October could be especially difficult.  Overbought readings on TLT (bond prices) going into the July/August timeframe would set up a decline in price into October – one that could be worse than many expect.



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